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發布時間︰2011-08-22
歐債難產，困局未解，歐元5年後壽終正寢？(532人參與)34
投票已經結束
投票結果 (532人參與)
- 會
- 32%
- 不會
- 68%
以性別計算結果︰
- 男
- 女
- 會
- 25
- 7
- 32%
- 不會
- 52
- 16
- 68%
以年齡組別計算結果︰
- 25歲以下
- 25 - 55歲
- 55歲以上
- 會
- 2
- 24
- 6
- 32%
- 不會
- 5
- 51
- 12
- 68%
我要回應34
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2011-08-29領導人訪港大事件，發展至今，你認為誰是誰非？(1623人參與)88
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2011-08-22菲律賓人質事件一周年，是否到時候解除黑色旅遊警報？(1448人參與)51
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2011-08-22歐債難產，困局未解，歐元5年後壽終正寢？（本文）(532人參與)34
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2011-08-15未來五年內，港元是否應與美元脫勾？如是，應與那種貨幣掛勾?(1495人參與)94
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2011-08-15英國騷亂，年青人趁火搶劫。若子女犯錯影響社會秩序，你會否向警方舉報？(412人參與)12
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- Annie2050發表於 2011-10-19 10:24 AM
- #35
- The main problem is whether taxpayers in Germany are willing to pay 1/2 of EFSF to save French banks.
Nationalization of Dexia = shift the risk of a bank to nations - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Adooo發表於 2011-10-3 04:53 PM
- #34
the words Soros use is "must agree in principle" that doing will give the market condifence already, and then gain time to resolve more other problems..
agree in principle is first step, when get into right direction, when the marrket belive it is the solution, how problems such as constitution amendments etc will be had a way to resolve with the public pressures.- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-10-3 04:43 PM
- #33
- Fed cannot print money. U.S. Department of the Treasury can print money.
ECB cannot print money or issue Eurobond. "Common treasury for the eurozone" can print money.
But the creation of "common treasury for the eurozone" needs constitution amendments, referendums etc among the governments of eurozone. - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Adooo發表於 2011-10-3 11:32 AM
- #32
- said from Soros.. I agree with this, must do this, taking this step, there is hope, otherwise will finish that is matter of time, because must creat a central banking authority in eurozone each europe countries no matter pigs or not pigs now must commit.. that the way saperate politics and state finance autonomy will become necessary, but politically it is very difficult.
""First, the governments of the eurozone must agree in principle on a new treaty creating a common treasury for the eurozone. In the meantime, the major banks must be put under European Central Bank direction in return for a temporary guarantee and permanent recapitalisation. "" - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-9-12 05:21 PM
- #30
It is through the depreciation of Greek Drachma (GRD) and debt default to save Greece.
Since last year, there's a rumour that Deutsche Mark is set for comeback.
If above come true, investors must be well prepared for a strong rebound of USD.-
引用 #17 Annie2050 發表於 2011-8-24 10:13 AM
The best way to save Greece itself is to have debt default. Through deprecication of currency, peop ... - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-9-12 10:26 AM
- #29
- It is France and UK that forced Germany to accept Euro in return for reunification of Eastern and Western Germany.
After the fall of Berlin wall on Nov 9, 1989, both France and U.K. knew that they could not resist the reunification of Germany, so they had to decide whether to have a "European Germany" or a "Germany Europe". (Euopean countries' attitude towards Germany is similar to Asian countries towards aggressive Japan).
Euro is designed to bind Germany to European affairs. - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- hwang111發表於 2011-9-6 11:06 AM
- #27
Unbelievable！ECB dried up or has stopped "pumping water" to Greek?- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-9-6 10:20 AM
- #26
- 2 year Greek bond yield at 50.376%. If strongly believe Greece won't have debt default. It might be a good investment comparable to loan-shark loan,.
- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-9-4 01:30 AM
- #25
回覆 #24 hwang111
3 cases can be studied :
(1) Japanese asset price bubble 1986 - 1991 and its aftermath.
Japan : large trade surplus, yen appreciation, banks granted risky loans, high property price & big
spenders.
Peripheral countries : Russia, Europe, USA and China were suffering from either political or economic
problems.
(Japan's situation was quite similar to nowaday's China)
(2) Hong Kong 1997 - 1998
While other Asian currencies depreciated at least from 30% to 70%, HKD remained relatively strong due
to HKD/USD peg. Property price then dropped over 70% and even now, some houses in N.T. still cannot
recover the 1997 level.
(3 Switzerland 2011
Very strong Swiss Franc immediately affects its tourism & local consumption People cross border to shop
in Germany. Though not one of the "Piigs", its stock market performs worser than DAX and CAC.- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- hwang111發表於 2011-9-1 05:11 PM
- #24
Depreciate Euro? USD has been depreciating. How is it going to impact PRC's economy if everyone is depreciating.- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-8-26 03:04 PM
- #23
If gold price drops below US$1725, bubble burst will be confirmed.- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- xoxoxalan發表於 2011-8-25 04:35 PM
- #22
- 做了就是啱的...既然已經行咗咁耐,而且係前人所定就好似港幣和美元掛釣一樣,財爺明知再咁樣落去....港幣一定俾聯繫匯率害死,港人叫苦連天都要死頂!!!!!
- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Jones發表於 2011-8-24 10:01 PM
- #21
- 解體就應該不會，個別國家脫離就好大可能。
當地區發展步伐不一致，就會產生矛盾。
金融海嘯後，人民幣滙率死釘住美元，中國GDP增長是美國的10倍，美國就好不爽，港幣跟美元掛釣，港人要求脫釣的呼聲也很大。
看著德法政府的自私，不難想像PIIGS市民是如何期望脫離歐元區，各國可以自行制訂貨幣政策 - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Guardian發表於 2011-8-24 11:35 AM
- #20
Another way is to get the rich to pay tax. Greece is a tax haven for the rich 'cause the gov't never chase them for tax.
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引用 #17 Annie2050 發表於 2011-8-24 10:13 AM
The best way to save Greece itself is to have debt default. Through deprecication of currency, peop ... - 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-8-24 10:46 AM
- #19
回覆 #9 股海浮生
The appreciation of Euro from 0.83 to 1.46+ is a matter of demand and supply. The top 5 daily traded currencies including US$, Bristish pound, Yen and Euro. Pls note that more and more countries (now 14+) are taking RMB into their foreign reserve. The demand for Dim Sum Bonds is increasing and the appreciation of RMB is foreseeable. (Central banks only hold bonds, not cash) On the contrary, if some countries swap Euro or US$ to RMB, that means they have to sell Euro or US$ bonds in order to buy Dim Sum bonds. This may cause liquidity problem in Europe and USA.- 回覆 | 引用 | 舉報
- Annie2050發表於 2011-8-24 10:13 AM
- #17
- The best way to save Greece itself is to have debt default. Through deprecication of currency, people will work harder and increase export . (now, Greek work only 4 hours per day and more than 500 jobs are regarded as high risk, employees must retire at 55 and enjoy full payment after retirement. Note that salary will be greatly increased just before retirement.) Russia, Argentina, etc have cases of debt default before. Selling of territories or public utilities will not save the country. The latter only increase unemployment and cut govt revenue.
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